After a month of June with cooler than normal temperatures and rain and storms in large areas, prediction models point to a “hot” July, with values that would be between 1 and 3 degrees above the normal average in much of the peninsula throughout the month, according to data from the State Meteorological Agency (Aemet). . With respect to the rainsthese are expected to be scarce, as is usually the case in July, explains AEMET, which stresses that if the forecasts are met, July will be hot.
When will the intense heat arrive?
The anticyclone will arrive from Tuesdaythe storms will disappear and temperatures will rise, according to AEMET spokesman Rubén del Campo. “We will already have heat typical of this time of year. Temperatures will exceed 34 to 36 degrees in large areas of the centre and south of the peninsula, and even 40 degrees on Thursday and Friday in the valleys of the Guadalquivir and Guadiana.” Although there is still uncertainty in the forecast, Temperatures are likely to drop over the weekend and storms will return to the northern half of the peninsula.
The weather will stabilize on Tuesday. It will only rain lightly in the eastern Cantabrian Sea and the Pyrenees, without ruling out some stormy showers in Catalonia and the Balearic Islands. The skies will be clear in the rest of the areas. Temperatures will continue to rise andTemperatures will exceed 30 degrees in the northeast and central part of the peninsula and 34 to 36 in the valleys of the Guadiana and Guadalquivir.
Wednesday and Thursday will be “summer days”, according to Del Campo, with slightly cloudy skies and stable weather, in general. There could only be some light rain in the Cantabrian Sea and some showers in Cataloniawithout ruling it out in the Balearic Islands. That day there will be more than 30 degrees in large areas of the northern half and 34 to 36 in the southern half. Cities like Badajoz, Seville and Córdoba will already be around 38 to 40 degrees.
The heat will be on Thursday. At dawn, it will not drop below 20 to 22 degrees in large areas of the southern half. In the afternoon, 34 to 36 degrees will be reached in the Ebro depression and points of the Northern Plateau and the 36 to 38 in the center and south of the peninsula.“On Thursday, Madrid will be around 35 degrees, 38 degrees will be reached in Cáceres, Toledo or Granada, and up to 40 degrees will be reached in Badajoz, Córdoba or Seville,” Del Campo adds.
The hottest day of the week will be Friday. It will dawn after tropical nights in many areas of the southern half. In the central hours of the day there will be more than 35 degrees in large areas of the northern half and more than 38 in the center and south of the peninsula. In the south of Castilla-La Mancha, as well as in parts of Andalusia and Extremadura, temperatures will exceed 40 degrees. In the afternoon there could be a lightor increased instability which would result in isolated storms in parts of the northern half. Instability could increase during the weekend with Showers and thunderstorms in the afternoons, especially in the northern half of the peninsulaTemperatures will drop, although they will continue to exceed 34 to 36 degrees in large areas of the country.
Temperature and rainfall forecast in summer
Besides, the quarter between July, August and September the probability that it will be warmer than normal is greater than 70% throughout the country, while there is only a 10% chance that it will be a colder than normal quarter. Within the same period, yeAs far as rain is concerned, there is a 50% chance that it will be lower than usual in the peninsula and the Balearic Islands, compared to a 20% chance that the quarter will be rainier than normal.